America First Insight

2026 Primary Election Polling Averages | America First Insight

2026 GOP Primary Polling

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Today's Snapshot

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Non-Weighted Average

Pollster Date Sample MoE Trump (R) Harris (D) Margin
Michigan Senate 2020
Gary Peters* - 49.90%
John James - 48.22%
Michigan Senate 2024
Elissa Slotkin - 48.64%
Mike Rogers★ - 48.30%

* Incumbent

★ AFI Endorsed

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Typically, the Generic Ballot has always favored the opposition party over the President during midterms. As of now, the GOP maintains a decent lead. However, we fully expect the Generic Ballot to shift in favor of the Democrats by the end. In 2018, the Generic Ballot finished at D+8.6; we anticipate it will be no higher than D+2 this time.

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