America First Insight

Generic Ballot Polling Averages | America First Insight

2026 GOP Primary Polling

Current Feeling

Select Dataset

Today's Snapshot

Date: Margin:

Upgrade to Premium for this feature! Join now!

Non-Weighted Average

Pollster Date Sample MoE Trump (R) Harris (D) Margin
Arizona Governor 2022
Katie Hobbs - 50.32%
Kari Lake - 49.65%
Arizona 2024
Donald Trump★ - 52.22%
Kamala Harris - 46.69%

* Incumbent

★ AFI Endorsed

Premium Insight

Typically, the Generic Ballot has always favored the opposition party over the President during midterms. As of now, the GOP maintains a decent lead. However, we fully expect the Generic Ballot to shift in favor of the Democrats by the end. In 2018, the Generic Ballot finished at D+8.6; we anticipate it will be no higher than D+2 this time.

All Polls