2026 GOP Primary Polling
Current Feeling
Today's Snapshot
Date: Margin:
Non-Weighted Average
Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Trump (R) | Harris (D) | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Katie Hobbs - 50.32%
Kari Lake - 49.65%
Donald Trump★ - 52.22%
Kamala Harris - 46.69%
* Incumbent
★ AFI Endorsed
Premium Insight
Typically, the Generic Ballot has always favored the opposition party over the President during midterms. As of now, the GOP maintains a decent lead. However, we fully expect the Generic Ballot to shift in favor of the Democrats by the end. In 2018, the Generic Ballot finished at D+8.6; we anticipate it will be no higher than D+2 this time.